Worked examples: what really happens
Here is the same 15 pound goal for two people, each eating 500 calories a day less than they burn at the start, a plan that would take 15 weeks by the 3,500 calorie rule.
A quick answer, a calculator for your own timeline, and worked examples showing why 15 pounds often takes a bit longer than the simple math suggests.
At a steady 1 pound a week, losing 15 pounds takes about 15 weeks (roughly 3.5 months). In practice it usually takes a little longer, because weight loss slows as you get lighter. In our worked examples it took about 16 weeks.
Your projected weight loss
Day-by-day estimate using the Mifflin-St Jeor equation, re-estimated as your weight changes. Real progress varies week to week; this is not medical advice.
| Pace | Time |
|---|---|
| Gentle: 0.5 lb a week | 30 weeks (about 7 months) |
| Steady: 1 lb a week | 15 weeks (about 3.5 months) |
| Fast: 1.5 lb a week | 10 weeks (about 2.5 months) |
| Very fast: 2 lb a week | 8 weeks |
Simple arithmetic: 15 pounds divided by the weekly pace. Real progress is usually a little slower; see the worked examples below.
Here is the same 15 pound goal for two people, each eating 500 calories a day less than they burn at the start, a plan that would take 15 weeks by the 3,500 calorie rule.
| Example | 3,500 calorie rule | Recalculating every 10 lb | Never adjusting calories |
|---|---|---|---|
| A 35-year-old woman, 160 to 145 lb | 15 weeks (about 3.5 months) | 16 weeks (about 3.5 months) | 16 weeks (about 4 months) |
| A 35-year-old man, 185 to 170 lb | 15 weeks (about 3.5 months) | 16 weeks (about 3.5 months) | 17 weeks (about 4 months) |
Examples: a 35-year-old woman, 5 ft 5 in, lightly active; a 35-year-old man, 5 ft 10 in, lightly active. Modeled day by day with the Mifflin-St Jeor equation.
15 pounds is a meaningful change: for someone starting at 200 pounds it is 7.5% of their weight, and the CDC notes that even modest weight loss can improve blood pressure, cholesterol and blood sugar.
At a steady 1 pound a week, losing 15 pounds takes about 15 weeks (roughly 3.5 months). In practice it usually takes a little longer, because weight loss slows as you get lighter. In our worked examples it took about 16 weeks.
Not safely for most people. 15 pounds in a month would mean losing about 3 pounds a week, well beyond the 1 to 2 pounds a week the CDC describes as gradual and steady. Plan on at least 8 weeks, and more likely 15 or longer.
About 500 calories a day less than you burn is a common starting point for losing roughly a pound a week. Use the calculator above or our TDEE calculator to find your number, and recalculate every 10 pounds.